The Politburo Standing Committee line-up brought a number of surprises, but Xi still seems to have operated within a broad institutional framework. October 25, 2022 What Institutional Norms Are Left After the 20th Party Congress? Last week, they also captured the strategic Tigrayan city of Shire. North Korean nuclearization makes a once-taboo option thinkable. ", "__", "----", "China shuffles leadership committee and retains many Xi allies", "China Xinhua News on Twitter: "Xinhuanet reporter Liu Jiawen", "Hu Jintao: The mysterious exit of China's former leader from party congress", "Hu Jintao argued about official papers before being escorted out of congress", "What the Hell Just Happened to Hu Jintao? Chinas top leader warned his compatriots that their country had entered a period of strategic opportunities, risks and challenges and that they must be prepared to deal with worst-case scenarios. To weather the storm, Xis answer was, of course, that the Partys authority must be further strengthened (with himself at the core) so that China can boost its technological self-reliance, its socialist rule of law with Chinese characteristics, the PLAs capabilities, and its soft power and international influence. At the time of the election, 10 members were under 68 and eligible for a term renewal. Xis work report reflected a mix of both triumphalism and a warning of turbulence ahead. All quotes delayed a minimum of 15 minutes. Surprise 3: I predicted that Xi would not follow conventional norms, but I did not expect that the primary candidate for premier, Li Qiang, would lack experience serving as a vice premier, a prerequisite throughout PRC history. World stocks rose and Japan's yen tumbled on Wednesday, after the Bank of Japan poured cold water on monetary tightening expectations and economic and earnings data proved cheery for European markets. Delegates in Beijing last week certainly emphasized Taiwan as a priority, but far from the top or only priority. The 20th Party Congress has closed, with Xi Jinping's grip on power even tighter than expected. Usernames may be updated at any time and must not contain inappropriate or offensive language. World stocks rose and Japan's yen tumbled on Wednesday, after the Bank of Japan poured cold water on monetary tightening expectations and economic and earnings data proved cheery for European markets. * Meanwhile, the capital is stepping up security and COVID curbs, and raising red political banners for the once-every-five-year event that brings together 2,300 party members at the vast Great Hall of the People on Tiananmen Square. Asia, Pacific Xis stated desire to bring Taiwan under Beijings control will also be in focus during a third term, especially with tensions heightened following US House Speaker Nancy Pelosis recent Taipei visit. And then on Saturday they elected a new Central Committee. Weekly update on developments in India and its neighbors. The makeup and size of the next PSC, now at seven members, will also be closely watched. Alongside Xi, six loyalists will now make up the Standing Committee. COLOMBO - A high-level delegation of the Communist Party of China (CPC) has visited Sri Lanka and introduced the guiding principles of the 20th CPC National Congress to all sectors of the society in the island country. * Leaders face a difficult time. This week Xi Jinping has taken his new Politburo Standing Committee on a group trip - to Yan'An, the base of Mao Zedong's Communist revolution after the Long March. The size of the PSC has always been flexible. China's worst-kept secret is out: Xi Jinping will begin a third term as president after a highly choreographed 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) rubber-stamped his. "[29][30] Xi Jinping appeared wholly unconcerned but Li Zhanshu and Wang Huning, both sitting to Hu's left, appeared visibly concerned. And Chinas wolf warrior diplomats proclaimed it their duty to use fists to protect their leaders dignity. A high-level delegation of the Communist Party of China (CPC) has visited Sri Lanka and introduced the guiding principles of the 20th CPC National Congress to all sectors of the society in the island country. With little change expected in broad policy direction, key outcomes from the Congress will revolve around personnel who joins Xi on the Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) and who replaces Premier Li Keqiang, who is set to retire in March. Unlike PSC members, ordinary age-eligible Politburo members do not have the entitlement to stay. Xis likely ascendancy to a third five-year term, and possibly more, was set in 2018 when he eliminated the limit of two terms for the presidency, a position that is set to be renewed at the annual parliamentary meeting in March. China's BYD takes cautious approach to U.S. in global EV push, Chinese who lost relatives to COVID angry at failure to protect elderly, China's pessimistic Gen Z poses challenge for Xi post-COVID, Exclusive: Russia sees sanctions impact on oil products, eyes crude export boost -senior source, Stocks bouyed by cheery data after BOJ damp squib, World's No.2 aircraft lessor SMBC sees recession risk localized, Davos 2023 - Citi CEO Fraser says China opening up is good news for the market, Most Chinese provinces set growth targets of above 5% in 2023, See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. Access unmatched financial data, news and content in a highly-customised workflow experience on desktop, web and mobile. Victor Shih. [12], Similar protest slogans subsequently appeared in other cities in China and around the world. What the Hell Just Happened to Hu Jintao? Twitter:@christinafei. Ling Li teaches Chinese studies at the University of Vienna. The second path Xi did not take is the reactivation of the party chairmanship. [47], Workers' Party of Korea general secretary Kim Jong Un sent a congratulatory letter to Xi Jinping on his reelection as CCP general secretary, saying he hoped to further develop their ties. From a historical point of view, this process of transfer of power will be a long-term process, writes Xu Bo, Professor at the Northeast Asia Research Center of Jilin University (Changchun, China). Is the paradox meant to demonstrate that he has grabbed power not for self-glorification and vanity but only because it is needed to achieve his New Era political project? European and Asian leaders began to call the IRA unfair competition and protectionist. [22][23], The CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping secured an unprecedented third term as China's leader. See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. She has published extensively on the Chinese political-legal system as well as corruption and anti-corruption in China. The same rule has been largely observed at the Politburo. [1/4]A view of Chinese national flags in a street of an old neighbourhood as the city prepares for the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, in Beijing, China October 11, 2022. Two current members have reached traditional retirement age, and China-watchers will look for whether the inclusion of any new member reflects a need to accommodate alternative viewpoints, although under Xi the notion of factions in Chinese politics appears largely to have become a relic. appreciated. The Supreme Court has ruled that despite having actionable intelligence, former President Sirisena and top officials did not act to prevent the 2019 Easter Sunday bombings. for Us, concluded in my previous piece published in The Diplomat magazine. "[42] Xi had been harshly critical in his previous speeches, where he spoke of "the problem that the party's leadership had been weakened, blurred, diluted, and marginalized" (Chinese: "") before his leadership. Photo by Noel Celis/AFP. The new Politburo is an emphatic statement of Xis dominance over the party.". "The result was a resounding victory for Xi, more decisive than many experienced observers had forecast," said Richard McGregor, Senior Fellow for East Asia at the Lowy Institute think tank in Sydney. Friday, Oct. 28: The U.K. Conservative Party is expected to announce a winner in its leadership election. This year, Xi Jinping secured his third . Nguyen Xuan Phuc has become the first Vietnamese president to resign from office, amid an ongoing graft scandal linked to the country's COVID-19 response. Your guide to the most important world stories of the day. It follows his yearslong efforts to entrench power at a level not seen since the reign of Mao Zedong, including by abolishing presidential term limits and enshrining his own political thought in the party constitution. U.S. President Joe Biden meets Israeli President Isaac Herzog. Click here to subscribe for full access. Tencent has punished commentators of the bridge incident with loss of Wechat account access. Few China-watchers expect Beijing to make a military move on Taiwan anytime soon, and there is little sign of preparing society for such a high-risk step and the blowback it would provoke, such as heavy Western sanctions. Hus unannounced and clumsy removal was either a cock-upor a conspiracy, as FPs James Palmer writes, with some possible explanations being a health crisis or the emergence of new information that rattled Xi. [9], On 13 October 2022, three days prior to the opening of the CCP National Congress, the Beijing Sitong Bridge protest took place. Asia, Asia This cohort had enjoyed a noticeable competitive advantage vis-a-vis contenders from the Central Committee, since three of them were granted a renewal and four were promoted to the PSC. After putting his loyalists into positions of power with this party congress, Xi will have a bigger mandate to push through whatever policies he wants, said Alfred Wu, associate professor at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy at the National University of Singapore. 2 global climate envoy, joined FP editor in chiefRavi Agrawal to discuss Washingtons climate policy, and how it is being seen around the world. With Johnsons exit, Rishi Sunak holds a clear lead in the leadership race. PATRICIA M. KIM (@patricia_m_kim) Bill Bishop. Reuters provides business, financial, national and international news to professionals via desktop terminals, the world's media organizations, industry events and directly to consumers. The symbolism is easy to see. At this congress, the rule of renewal was violated at the PSC because of the premature exits of Li Keqiang (67) and Wang Yang (67). Interestingly, the least surprising electoral outcome was Xi Jinpings securing of a third term as general party secretary (GPS). In the meeting, it was decided that Wang Huning will serve as the secretary-general of the party congress. However, the last feature blatant attacks on the reign of Chinas paramount leader is unusual. China conducted "precision missile strikes" Thursday in waters off Taiwan's coasts as part of military exercises that have raised tensions in the region to their highest level in decades following a visit by U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Click + to receive email alerts when new stories are published on. Xi was able to dominate personnel selection because he had gained control already of the military, the security agencies, the organization/personnel system, and the propaganda system. Jonathan Pershing, formerly the Biden administrations No. He is expected to exert largely unchallenged control over key appointments and policy directives at a Congress that many China-watchers liken to a coronation. Browse an unrivalled portfolio of real-time and historical market data and insights from worldwide sources and experts. The day after the closing of the Congress, the 1st Plenary Session was held at which the Central Committee approved the membership of the CCP's Politburo and its Standing Committee, the party's most powerful decision-making body.[1]. The 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party was held from October 16 to October 22 2022. China. And it underscored the huge perception gap between Beijing and its Western counterparts on Chinas recent track record. Watch FPs Ravi Agrawal in conversation with two of the contributors to the magazines cover story, Anne-Marie Slaughter and retired Gen. David Petraeus, as they reflect on whats surprised themand how to prevent future wars. Yet, at the same time, he disregarded the opportunity to solidify this newly gained power advantage into formal power. The two also discussed climate cooperation with China, the road to COP28, and much else. And then at the first plenum on Sunday, they elected a new lineup of leaders who paraded across the stage, including General Secretary Xi Jinping. Both were previously the Communist Party boss of the powerhouse southern province of Guangdong. A total of 2,296 delegates were elected to represent the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)'s 96.7 million members by 25 September 2022. Surprise 4: I knew it was not in Xis interest to identify a successor. "Non-traditional security cooperation can sometimes have unexpected traditional security outcomes.. World stocks rose and Japan's yen tumbled on Wednesday, after the Bank of Japan poured cold water on monetary tightening expectations and economic and earnings data proved cheery for European markets. Under Xi, China has also become far more assertive on the global stage as a leader of the developing world and an alternative to the US-led, post-World War II order. The CCP Congress endorsed the membership list of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection and elected the 20th Central Committee of the CCP. That position would provide Xi with greater commanding power, security, and prestige. The language that Xi used in his work report on Taiwan was firm, but also largely familiar. These three incidents, although representing only the polar extreme of dissent, tap into a broader undercurrent of societal discontent both within and outside of China that is pressing for the Party to address. Here are some of the leading contenders and some scenarios to look out for. Welcome to todays Morning Brief, where were looking at Chinese President Xi Jinpings new Standing Committee, Britains leadership race to replace Liz Truss, and Ethiopias escalating war. Nine of them retired, as dictated by the rule. Why did he take the harder approach, violating the valuable age limit norm, to achieve something that he could have achieved in a manner that is less antagonizing to other power-holders? But for Xi, successfully resolving the Taiwan question would secure his place in Chinese history alongside Maos. His negative definition of Chinas threat environment provides a perfect justification to intensify control, and the United States and Taiwan are among the convenient dangers to which he can point. A day after the 20th Party Congress, Xi is expected again to be conferred the roles of General Secretary of the Communist Party and Chairman of the Central Military Commission. 12:30 - 5:45 PM ET. Boris bows out. Explore the benefits included in your subscription. For the purpose of this analysis, the age limit rules concerning the Politburo and the PSC consist of: First, the 20th Party Congress fully observed the rule of departure at the PSC. All quotes delayed a minimum of 15 minutes. Since Barilla markets its pasta with the Italian flags colors, they added, it is further perpetuating the notion that the products are authentic pastas from Italy.. NEW FOR SUBSCRIBERS: Now, he is much better. at the 20th party congress, that . A highly choreographed event, the Party Congress is meant to be seamlessbut that was disrupted on Saturday, when officials escorted Hu Jintao, Xis predecessor, out of the room. [5], In May 2022, the CCP General Office issued a set of regulations warning retired members not to make any negative political comments or discussion of the party's policies in the run-up to the 20th National Congress and that violations of the disciplinary rules will be dealt with seriously. On October 12, the final plenary session of the 19th Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party concluded, as it usually does, with the outgoing committee giving its approval for the work report that Xi Jinping will present at the 20th Party Congress, as well as for unspecified amendments to the party's constitution. This creates some room to revive the norm for future application. The struggles of 2022 highlighted six crises China will have to face now and into the future. By submitting your email, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms of Use and to receive email correspondence from us. The crown jewel of CPEC saw protests turn violent, followed by a security crackdown and internet shutdown. Nationalism and protectionism were already on the rise when COVID-19 shut down global supply chains. * In a highly unusual move, China delayed the release of key economic indicators scheduled for publication this week. All quotes delayed a minimum of 15 minutes. 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